Lian Xie*, Marcela Alfaro-Cordoba#, Bin Liu*, and Montserrat Fuentes#
*Department of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences
#Department of Statistics
North Carolina State University
(April 15th, 2014)
Summary of 2014 Forecast Results
The 2014 Atlantic hurricane season hurricane season is forecast to be close to the long-term average (1951-2013), but below the average of the past 20 years (1994-2013) . Specific forecasts are described below.
Note: Range of expected values obtained using a 95 percent prediction interval for the number of counts. Atlantic hurricane season starts on June 1, and ends on November 30. Atlantic basin includes the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea.
For more details, please refer to our technical report. [PDF]
Disclaimer: Results presented herein are for scientific information exchange only. Forecasts are expected to contain certain level of uncertainty due to scientific limitations. Users are at their own risk for using the forecasts in any decision making.